MILO MILAN – Generally progressive profile under rules and made a winning chase debut in a handicap last time, up 10lbs though that may not stop him, conditions suit and will be there or thereabouts.
SHERWANI WOLF – Encouraging Chase debut in C/D handicap off OR 120 on ground plenty lively enough, off same mark here and conditions suit, though suspicion he’s best off a break of 40 days+
MUD MONKEY – Chase record 1-3-10, handicap record 1-3-7, UR on reappearance in better class race but under closer inspection he looks a dodgy jumper.
NATAANI – Chase debut, bumper winner on soft but sire’s progeny usually better on good ground, promise in three novice hurdles and could improve for chasing. Watch market for clues.
MALLUSK – Chase record 1-0-3, win coming on chase/handicap debut off OR 107, goes well fresh, both wins after a break and off OR 115 today must go close with conditions suiting (he stayed 3m in p2p’s).
BRADFORD BORIS – Career best two starts ago but never runs two races alike and not one to be confident about.
MYLORD COLLONGES – Chase record 5-5-16 and in class 4 has a record of 4-5-11, up 8lb for win last time out but conditions suit (would not want ground really soft tho’) and has a major E/W chance.
MAGOT DE GRUGY – Two decent runs this term (put up 9lb) and a chase record of 2-7-14 in handicaps proves he’s ultra consistent but he may find one or two younger ones a bit too quick for him.
NOMADIC WAY – Chase record 2-0-4, progressed nicely over fences Feb – Mar 2011 and more to come off 5lb higher if fully wound up on first appearance since.
DONT TELL SAILOR – Up in class and record of 0-0-5 in class 4 suggests he can’t handle it, best form on better ground and dismissed.
RIGADIN DE BEAUCHENE – Fell both chase starts and maiden under both codes( 0-1-10 total record), best watched.
VERDICT
A tricky race to solve but the pin has landed on Mallusk over Milo Milan, he’ll be certainly trying for his life as connections wouldn’t want to waste his first run of the campaign given his previous record when fresh and rates a good bet. Mylord Collonges is a cracking E/W bet as well given his record in this class.
1pt win Mallusk @ 5/1 with bet365 p/u 5/1
1pt E/W Mylord Collonges @ 14/1 with bet 365 unplaced 12/1
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