Off we go to Newbury for this
0-150 Handicap Hurdle over 2m3f, the top weight is 12lbs below the ceiling and there’s
only 16lbs between the ten runners so its a tight affair on official ratings. Let’s
have a look at the runners.
Topolski
– Hasn’t won since going unbeaten in 3 in his novice season 2010/2011,
conditions suit but on current form doesn’t look up to this.
Kingcora
– One win and three places in five hurdle races in France, first start for
Venetia Williams after 406 days off. Yard does well with French imports but
hard to know what to expect, stable amongst the winners but Newbury handicap
hurdle record is one win from six runners. If gambled on take heed.
Princely
Player – Jumped sloppily on return in a decent listed novice event at Kempton but
still managed to stay on into 2nd, longer trip will suit today and
there should be more to come from this promising sort.
Star
Of Angels – Six pounds higher than last win and shown nothing in last three runs but
this his easiest task for some time, can go well fresh and each way claims at
best. Trainer has a 43% strike rate in handicap hurdles at Newbury.
Passato
– Hasn’t contested a hurdle race for nearly three years and hasn’t looked
at his best in last three chase starts (jumping badly right in all three), so
this looks a sweetener to restore some confidence.
Hunting
Tower – First start for Tim Vaughan and on his UK Hurdles form (11112) off 125 he
possibly looks well in based on his 2nd at Hexham off 131 in June
but rise in class and slower ground against him.
Salubrious – Should improve on reappearance run in better race(though
form of race not really working out 1 win, 0 places from 8 runners) off the
same mark here and this nice horse should be bang on the premises.
Scots Gaelic – First start for Tim Vaughan and showed good form
both on the flat and over hurdles in Ireland, decent 2nd on handicap
debut but drying ground may find him out.
Ardlui – Trainer thinks this is an improving type and after his
recent Newmarket handicap victory it’s hard to argue with him, this race is his
stated target and with conditions to suit a big run is expected.
At Fishers Cross – Didn’t win on his reappearance as his 4/7 price
said he should and trainer obviously not confident he can defy a penalty in
another novice, he could improve for the step up in trip but drying ground
possibly against him as trainer has said he likes plenty of cut.
Verdict
Its hard to see past Ardlui considering his recent flat
improvement and quotes from his trainer in the media. Princely Player and Salubrious
look the dangers and Kingcora
could become a live danger if market vibes develop. For those who like to play
each-way at a bigger price then look no further than Star Of Angels.
Bet
2pt win Ardlui @ 11/4 Hills & Ladbrokes.
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